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HomeMy WebLinkAboutBakersfield BTP Ch 3 Needs AnalysisNeeds Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-1 3. Needs Analysis The needs of Bakersfield bicyclists are diverse and depend on the individual level of experience, confidence, age, trip type and many other factors. This examination begins with a review of the types of bicyclists and typical trip purposes. It is followed by a review of trip attractors and generators to identify potential bicycle trip origins and destinations. Travel mode choice and typical travel time are then reviewed to understand the current and potential rates of bicycling. Bicycle related collisions are also reviewed to understand locations likely in need of bicycle related improvements. A closer look at the existing gaps in the bicycle network will help inform network development. The needs analysis concludes with a summary of community input gathered from a community survey and a workshop. 3.1. Types of Bicyclists This Plan seeks to address the needs of current and potential bicyclists and therefore it is important to understand the needs and preferences of all types of bicyclists. Bicyclists’ needs and preferences vary between skill levels and their trip types. Generally, bicycling typologies fall into four categories.1 Figure 3-1 illustrates these bicyclist types in a bar chart relating to the proportion of the public estimated from surveys to identify with each typology.  Strong and Fearless bicyclists will ride on almost any roadway despite the traffic volume, speed and lack of bikeway designation and are estimated to be less than 1% of the population.  Enthused and Confident bicyclists will ride on most roadways if traffic volumes and speeds are not high. They are confident in positioning themselves to share the roadway with motorists and are estimated to be 7% of the population.  Interested but Concerned bicyclists will ride if bicycle paths or lanes are provided on roadways with low traffic volumes and speeds. They are typically not confident cycling with motorists. Interested but Concerned bicyclists are estimated to be 60% of the total population and the primary target group that will bicycle more if encouraged to do so.  No Way, No How are people that do not consider cycling part of their transportation or recreation options and are estimated to be about one-third of the population. Typical Distribution of Types of Bicyclists Figure 3-1: Typology of Existing and Potential Bicyclists 1 Source: Roger Geller, Bicycle Coordinator, City of Portland, Oregon City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-2 | Alta Planning + Design The needs of bicyclists also vary between trip purposes. For example, people who bicycle for performance or recreational purposes may prefer long, straight, and un-signalized roadways while bicyclists who ride with their children to school may prefer direct roadways with lower vehicular volumes and speeds. The different types of bicyclists and their trip purposes include:  Commuters: regularly bicycle between their residences and work  Enthusiasts: ride for fitness or sport, and generally (but not always) have confidence and skills for riding in traffic  Casual / Family / Elderly: people who use bicycles for running errands, leisure, or as a family activity  Children: bicycle to school, activities and to visit friends An effective bicycle network accommodates bicyclists of all abilities. Casual bicyclists generally prefer roadways with low traffic volumes and low speeds. They also prefer paths that are physically separated from roadways. Because enthusiasts typically ride to destinations or to achieve a goal, they generally choose the most direct route, which may include arterial roadways with or without bike lanes. Commuters generally prefer increased separation from automobile traffic, but will ride on arterial roadways if they need to in order to reach their destinations. Children are more comfortable riding on very low volume residential streets and separated pathways. Bicyclists of all abilities and purposes ride every day in Bakersfield. Parents bicycle with their children to school, people bicycle to work in Bakersfield and adjacent unincorporated Kern County, community members bicycle to GET stations, and recreational bicyclists ride through Bakersfield on extended bicycle trips. Bicyclists of all abilities and purposes ride every day in Bakersfield. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-3 3.2. Bicycle Attractors and Generators 3.2.1 Parks and Community Centers Bakersfield has 59 park facilities including playgrounds, ball fields, courts, and picnic areas that serve as recreational destinations for the community. These outdoor amenities attract individuals, families, local residents and tourists. Bakersfield’s larger park destinations are described below and shown on Figure 3-2. Aera Park and Baseball Fields: Aera Park is located at the intersection of Stockdale Highway and Jewetta Avenue, close to the Kern River. The park’s 11 baseball fields host Bakersfield Southwest youth leagues. In addition, Aera Park has wi-fi available. Centennial Park: Located on Montclair north of Stockdale Highway, Centennial Park has a wide variety of amenities, including playground equipment; picnic areas; facilities for basketball, volleyball, tennis, baseball, and soccer; and a no-leash zone for dogs. Centennial Plaza: The Centennial Plaza is located at Truxton Avenue and N Street, near to the Rabobank Arena Theatre and Convention Center. It includes a fountain, waterfall, and stage. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Community Center and Park: This park is located at the intersection of East California and South Owens and has a pool, summer spray park, basketball and tennis courts, and a full gym. The adjacent community center has a large multipurpose room with a kitchen, after school program for children, and free lunch program during the summer months. Jastro Park: Located between Truxtun Avenue and 18th Street, Jastro Park has a bandstand, shade canopy, two picnic areas, facilities for a variety of sports, horseshoe pits, playground equipment, and a summer spray park. Jefferson Park: Amenities at Jefferson Park include a spray park, sandlot style play area, amphitheater, and pool. It is located at Bernard Street and Beale Avenue. Kern River Parkway Bike Path: The Kern River Bike Path covers more than 30 miles along the Kern River through Bakersfield. There are more than 6,000 acres of trails, parks, and waterways, including the paved shared-use path previously discussed. McMurtrey Aquatic Center: Located in Downtown at the corner of 14th and Q Streets, this aquatic facility features a large recreation pool and a 50-meter competition pool, as well as a double water slide. The Park at River Walk: A 32 acre park adjacent to the Kern River at the junction of Stockdale Highway and Buena Vista Road, The Park at River Walk has an amphitheater, swimming facilities, and wi-fi access. It is behind The Shops at River Walk. Planz Park: This park is located at Planz Road and South H Street, and provides three picnic areas, a baseball diamond, a basketball court, a spray park, and a pool. Silver Creek Community Center and Park: Located at Harris Road and Reliance Drive, the park and community center include a pavilion, a swimming pool, a multi- purpose room, a stage, lighted tennis courts, a disc golf course, horseshoe pits, an exercise course, two play areas, a multi-use sports field, and two large picnic areas. Wayside Park: This park is located at Ming Ave and El Toro Drive. It offers two picnic areas, a softball diamond, basketball and tennis courts, and a spray park. City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-4 | Alta Planning + Design 3.2.2 Schools Children below driving age are a large population of existing and potential bicyclists. Schools in Bakersfield are listed in Table 3-1 and shown in Figure 3-2. Elementary and junior high/middle schools in Bakersfield are managed by the Bakersfield City School District, while high schools are managed by the Kern High School District. Table 3-1: Bakersfield Public Schools School Names Elementary Schools Almondale Evergreen Loudon Planz American Franklin McAuliffe Quailwood Berkshire Frank West McKinley Reagan Bill Williams Fremont Mount Vernon Roosevelt Bimat Garza Munsey San Lauren Buena Vista Granite Pointe Nichols Sandrini Casa Loma Harding Noble Sandstone Castle Harris Norris Seibert Chavez Hart Old River Sing Lum College Heights Hills Owens Primary Stine Columbia Horizon Owens Intermediate Stockdale Del Rio Horace Mann Palla Suburu Discovery Jefferson Patriot Thorner Douglas Johnson Children’s Center Pauly Valle Verde Downtown Kendrick Penn Valley Oaks Charter Eissler Laurelglen Pioneer Veterans Endeavour Longfellow Plantation Wayside Junior High / Middle Schools Actis Freedom Sierra Valley Oaks Charter Chipman Greenfield Stiern Warren Compton Ollivier Stonecreek Washington Curran Rafer Community Day Tevis Emerson Sequoia Thompson High Schools Bakersfield Frontier Liberty South Centennial Golden Valley Mira Monte Stockdale East Bakersfield Highland North West Foothill Independence Ridgeview In addition to elementary, middle, junior high, and high schools, Bakersfield is also home to California State University (CSU) Bakersfield and Bakersfield College. As of the fall quarter 2012, CSU Bakersfield enrolled 8,520 total students2. Established in 1913, Bakersfield College is one of the nation’s oldest continually- operating community colleges, today serving 15,000 students on the 153-acre main campus in northeast Bakersfield, at the Weill Institute in downtown Bakersfield, and at the Delano Center 35 miles north of Bakersfield3. 2 http://www.calstate.edu/as/stat_reports/2012-2013/f12_01.htm 3 http://www.bakersfieldcollege.edu/about/facts/ Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-5 3.2.3 Retail Centers Located in the central portion of the city, Downtown Bakersfield is comprised of several blocks and features restaurants, retail shops, and entertainment uses, including the Rabobank Arena, Theatre, and Convention Center. There are Class II bike lanes on Chester Avenue, Q Street, and 21st Street that serve the downtown. There are two major shopping centers in Bakersfield: Valley Plaza Mall and Northwest Promenade. Located in southwest Bakersfield adjacent to Highway 99, the Valley Plaza Mall has a wide variety of shops and restaurants, as well as a movie theatre. It can be accessed by Wible Road, which has Class II bike lanes. The Northwest Promenade is an outdoor shopping center located on the northwestern side of the Kern River. The Promenade fronts Rosedale Highway, which lacks bicycle facilities, but there are Class II bike lanes on Coffee Road, which runs along the property’s eastern edge. The East Hills Mall, located in the northeast portion of the city, contains a United Artists Theatre. There are Class II bike lanes on Columbus Street to the north and Bernard Street to the south of the mall. Smaller shopping and lifestyle centers, such as the Shops at Riverwalk and the Marketplace, are scattered throughout Bakersfield and are home to major chain stores and restaurants, such as Target, Costco, Wal-Mart, Family Dollar, P.F. Chang’s, and BJ’s Restaurant and Brewhouse. 3.2.4 Top Employers Nearly 25,000 people are employed by Bakersfield’s top ten employers. Making bicycling to work convenient through increased access to employment centers and City and privately sponsored encouragement programs would target this large pool of potential bicyclists. Table 3-2 lists the top ten employers, their location, and number of employees. They are also shown on Figure 3-2. This Plan’s recommendations consider large employer locations. Table 3-2: Top 10 Employers (2010) 3.2.5 Transit Public transit riders often face the “first mile, last mile” dilemma of how to connect their home and final destination with the actual transit route. For instance, a transit bus may take a passenger to within a mile of Employer Address Number of Employees County of Kern 1115 Truxtun Avenue 7,475 Giumarra Farms PO Box 1969 4,200 Grimmway Farms N/A 3,500 Wm. Bolthouse Farms, Inc. 7200 E. Brundage Lane 2,000 Bakersfield Memorial Hospital 420 30th Street 1,400 City of Bakersfield 1600 Truxtun Avenue 1,300 Mercy Hospital 2215 Truxtun Avenue 1,200 ARB, Inc. PO Box 1559 1,200 Kern Medical Center 1830 Flower Street 1,200 State Farm Insurance 900 Old River Road 1,045 Total 24,520 Source: Greater Bakersfield Chamber of Commerce City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-6 | Alta Planning + Design their employment site, but that might be outside the range of their walking capability or tolerance. Bicycle racks on buses and bicycle parking at transit stops ensure that bicycling is a complementary solution to the transit connectivity issue. Approximately 1.2% of Bakersfield’s working population report taking transit to work daily4. Three public transit agencies operate within the City: Golden Empire Transit (GET), Kern Regional Transit, and Amtrak. GET has annual boardings of 7.2 million passengers.5 There are two GET transit centers; one is downtown on 22nd Street between Eye Street and Chester Avenue, and the other is in southwest Bakersfield on Wible Road. GET operates bus routes throughout the City and provides front-loading bicycle racks. The racks can carry up to two bicycles, and bicycles are also allowed inside the bus if the rack is full and room is available. Kern Regional Transit operates bus routes throughout Kern County. Nine of 12 bus routes traverse Bakersfield. Some Kern Regional Transit buses are equipped with bicycle racks that are available on a first- come first-served basis. The City has installed bicycle lanes and routes along major bus routes, including Chester Avenue. Amtrak offers inter-city train and bus service to and from Bakersfield. The Bakersfield Amtrak station is located off Truxtun Avenue and S Street. Some buses are equipped with front bicycle racks, while others allow bicycles to be stored in luggage compartments below the vehicles. Most Amtrak trains permit bicycles to be walked onto train cars and secured to onboard bicycle racks. On older trains not equipped with racks, bicycles must be stored in a container and checked. There are no bikeways adjacent to the Amtrak station, though there are several nearby facilities through the downtown, such as Class II bike lanes to the east on Q Street. 4 American Community Survey, United States Census, 2007-2011. 5 www.getbus.org/about/ Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-7 Figure 3-2: Bicycle Attractors and Generators City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-8 | Alta Planning + Design 3.3. Commuter Travel Monitoring the number of commuter bicyclists in the City provides a way to track the use of bicycle facilities. As bicycle facilities are built and education and encouragement programs are implemented, the data can be revisited to monitor changes in bicycling rates. The proportion of Bakersfield residents that bicycle to work is about 0.4%, which is slightly lower than Kern County and the United States as a whole, and less than half that of California (Table 3-3). Table 3-3: Work Commute Mode Share by Geography Mode Bakersfield Kern County California United States Bicycle 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% Carpool 13.5% 15.4% 11.1% 9.7% Drive Alone 79.4% 76.2% 73.3% 76.4% Public Transit 1.2% 1.2% 5.2% 5.0% Walked 2.2% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% Other 1.1% 2.1% 1.3% 1.2% Worked from Home 2.3% 2.9% 5.3% 4.3% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey, SFB08301 Review of travel time to work is important to estimate the potential number of bicycle commuters. Generally, a commute time of 15 minutes or less is equivalent to a 30 minute bicycle commute, assuming flat topography and light to moderate traffic. The example of communities nationwide demonstrates that it is possible for Bakersfield to shift a portion of the 31.5 % of the 15 minute or less commuters to bicycling. Table 3-4 compares average Bakersfield commute times with Kern County, California, and the United States. Table 3-4: Travel Time to Work Travel Time to Work Bakersfield Kern County California United States Less than 15 minutes 31.5% 32.7% 24.5% 27.8% 15 to 29 minutes 43.0% 37.9% 35.8% 36.4% 30 to 44 minutes 14.8% 16.8% 21.6% 20.2% 45 to 59 minutes 4.9% 5.1% 8.0% 7.5% 60 minutes or more 5.8% 7.5% 10.1% 8.1% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey, SF B08303 Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-9 3.4. Bicycle Counts As part of this Bicycle Transportation Plan effort, the City of Bakersfield with assistance from Bike Bakersfield volunteers conducted bicycle counts at 14 sites geographically dispersed throughout the city to gather information on the number and characteristics of existing bicyclists. The counts were conducted from 6:30am to 9:00am and 3:30pm to 6:00pm on Tuesday September 18, 2012 and 8:00am to 12:00pm on Saturday September 22, 2012, for a total of 9 hours of observations per site. Table 3-5 presents a summary of the data gathered as part of this effort. Table 3-5: Summary of Bicycle Counts by Site Location Total Count Avg. Count / Hour AM PM Weekend Total Weekday Weekend Chester Ave & Class 1 Bike Path 118 121 382 621 48 96 Kern River Trail & Stockdale Hwy 134 103 371 608 47 93 Baker St & Sumner St 47 60 83 190 21 21 4th St & P St 30 65 94 189 19 24 Stockdale Highway & Don Hart (Near Cal State) 44 46 66 156 18 17 Paladino Dr & Morning Dr 41 9 86 136 10 22 21st St & Oak St 30 37 47 114 13 13 S. Chester Ave & Ming Ave 24 38 41 103 12 10 Riverlakes & Hageman 31 26 28 85 11 7 Brimhall Ave & Calloway 16 13 34 63 7 9 Ming Ave & Ashe Rd 22 19 18 59 8 5 Columbus St & Union Ave 19 10 23 52 6 6 Chester Ave & Truxtun Ave 14 14 19 47 6 5 University Ave & Mt Vernon Ave 4 11 5 20 3 1 Total for all sites 574 572 1297 2443 - - Average for each measure 41 41 93 175 16 23 Proportion of all observed bicyclists 23% 23% 53% 100% - - The top two sites both featured an intersection with a bike path. This is likely due to the community preferences for bike paths, as described further in Section 3.8. Across all sites, women and youth riders accounted for only 16% and 6% of the total bicyclists observed, respectively. Both of these measures suggest that the environment is not perceived by the general public as comfortable enough for bicycling. This summary of the data should be regarded as indicative measures of bicycling activity levels. As with bicycle collision analysis, manual bicycle counting has high statistical variability due to low sample size (9 hours out of the 4380 daylight hours of the year) and observation numbers (average 16 riders per hour across all sites). Ideally, future comparisons should utilize rolling five year averages to minimize the effect of random variation in the data. Should Bakersfield adopt permanent automatic counting technology at some sites (whether stand-alone or as part of traffic signal detection), it would be possible to develop locally specific seasonal, day of the week, and time of day expansion factors for any future short-term manual count efforts. City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-10 | Alta Planning + Design 3.5. Estimated Commuter and Utilitarian Bicyclists A key goal of this Plan is to maximize the number of bicyclists in order to realize multiple benefits, such as improved health, less traffic congestion, and maintenance of ambient air quality levels. In order to achieve this, a better understanding of the number of existing bicyclists is needed. The US Census collects only the primary mode of travel to work and it does not consider bicycle use when bicyclists ride to transit or school. Alta Planning + Design has developed a bicycle model that estimates usage based on available empirical data. This model uses Bakersfield specific data from the US Census American Community Survey (ACS); National Safe Routes to School survey; and Federal Highway Administration College Commute Survey. The calculation steps are outlined below. Bicycle to work mode share:  Number of bicycle commuters, derived from the ACS  Work at home bicycle mode share  Number of those who work from home and likely bicycle, derived from assumption that five percent of those who work at home make at least one bicycle trip daily. Bicycle to school mode share:  Number of students biking to school, derived from multiplying the K-8 student population by the national bike to school average rate of two percent  Number of college students biking to the CSU Bakersfield and Bakersfield College, derived from an assumption that one percent of those students living in Bakersfield bike. Number of those who bike to transit:  Number of people who bicycle to GET and Kern Regional Transit Stations, assuming that five percent of transit patrons use bicycles to access the station and/or their destination. As shown on Table 3-6, there are an estimated 5,564 existing daily bicycle commute trips in Bakersfield. This is an order-of-magnitude estimate based on available data and does not include recreational trips. Table 3-7 presents the estimated air quality benefits. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-11 Table 3-6: Existing Bicycling Demand (Estimated) Variable Figure Source Existing study area population 352,429 2011 ACS, B01003 1-Year Estimates Existing employed population 139,907 2011 ACS, B08301 1-Year Estimates Existing bike-to-work mode share 0.4% 2011 ACS, B08301 1-Year Estimates Existing number of bike-to-work commuters 560 Employed persons * by bike-to-work mode share Existing work-at-home mode share 2.3% 2011 ACS, B08301 1-Year Estimates Existing number of work-at-home bike commuters 161 Assumes 5% of population working at home makes at least one daily bicycle trip Existing transit-to-work mode share 1.2% 2011 ACS, B08301 1-Year Estimates Existing transit bicycle commuters 84 Employed persons multiplied by transit mode share. Assumes 5% of transit riders access transit by bicycle Existing school children, ages 5-14 (grades K-8) 58,856 2011 ACS, S0101 1-Year Estimates Existing school children bicycling mode share 2.0% National Safe Routes to School surveys, 2003. Existing school children bike commuters 1,177 School children population multiplied by school children bike mode share Existing number of college students in study area 8,002 CSU Bakersfield 2011 Fast Facts Existing estimated college bicycling mode share 10.0% Review of bicycle commute share in seven university communities (source: National Bicycling & Walking Study, FHWA, Case Study No. 1, 1995). Existing college bike commuters 800 College student population multiplied by college student bicycling mode share Existing total number of bike commuters 2,782 Total bike-to-work, school, college and utilitarian bike trips. Does not include recreation. Total daily bicycling trips 5,564 Total bicycle commuters x 2 (for round trips) City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-12 | Alta Planning + Design Table 3-7: Bicycling Air Quality Impact Existing Vehicle Trips and Miles Reduction Vehicle Trips per Weekday 1,734 Assumes 73% of vehicle trips replaced by bicycle trips for adults/college students and 53% for school children Vehicle Trips per Year 452,574 Reduced number of weekday vehicle trips multiplied by 261 (weekdays in a year) Vehicle Miles per Weekday 9,505 Assumes average round trip travel length of 8 miles for adults/college students and 1 mile for schoolchildren Vehicle Miles per Year 2,480,775 Reduced number of weekday vehicle miles multiplied by 261 (weekdays in a year) Existing Emissions Reduction Hydrocarbons (lbs/weekday) 28 Daily mileage reduction multiplied by 1.36 grams per reduced mile PM10 (lbs/weekday) 0 Daily mileage reduction multiplied by 0.0052 grams per reduced mile PM2.5 (lbs/weekday) 0 Daily mileage reduction multiplied by 0.0049 grams per reduced mile NOX (lbs/weekday) 20 Daily mileage reduction multiplied by 0.95 grams per reduced mile CO (lbs/weekday) 260 Daily mileage reduction multiplied by 12.4 grams per reduced mile C02 (lbs/weekday) 7,732 Daily mileage reduction multiplied by 369 grams per reduced mile Hydrocarbons (lbs/year) 7,438 Yearly mileage reduction multiplied by 1.36 grams per reduced mile PM10 (lbs/year) 28 Yearly mileage reduction multiplied by 0.0052 grams per reduced mile PM2.5 (lbs/year) 27 Yearly mileage reduction multiplied by 0.0049 grams per reduced mile NOX (lbs/year) 5,196 Yearly mileage reduction multiplied by 0.95 grams per reduced mile CO (lbs/year) 67,818 Yearly mileage reduction multiplied by 12.4 grams per reduced mile C02 (lbs/year) 2,018,125 Yearly mileage reduction multiplied by 369 grams per reduced mile Source: Emissions rates from EPA report 420-F-05-022 "Emission Facts: Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline-Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks." 2005. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-13 3.6. Collision Analysis Analysis of bicycle related collision data provides the city with a basis for infrastructure and programmatic recommendations that can improve safety. Collision data comes from the Statewide Integrated Traffic Report System (SWITRS). Because SWITRS is a repository for all police departments to submit traffic records, data is sometimes incomplete due to varying reporting methods. While collision data is sometimes incomplete and does not capture the “near misses,” it does provide a general sense of the safety issues facing bicyclists in Bakersfield. This chapter reviews collision data from the years 2006 through 2010 to identify where collisions frequently occur and what factors influenced the collisions. Table 3-8: Annual Reported Bicycle Related Collisions (2006-2010) Year Total Collisions 2006 56 2007 54 2008 54 2009 43 2010 49 Total 256 Source: SWITRS 3.6.1 Annual Collision Totals In this time period, there were 256 total reported collisions involving bicyclists. The number of bicycle related collisions remained fairly constant throughout the five-year period (Table 3-8) dipping slightly in 2009 and rising again in 2010. It should be noted, however, that many bicycle collisions go unreported and the true number may be higher than shown. Compared to other California cities with populations over 250,000, Bakersfield ranked the lowest by average population.6 Figure 3-7 maps these collisions. The vast majority of collisions occurred in downtown Bakersfield or adjacent to downtown to the east and south. Figure 3-3: Type of Collision 3.6.2 Collision Types Figure 3-3 breaks down the collision types by percentage The most typically reported collision type is a broadside collision. A broadside collision is a collision where the bicycle and the car were traveling at right angles to each other before the crash. . This indicates those involved were either not obeying traffic control devices (e.g. signals, stop signs) or ensuring it was safe to cross. While SWITRS data does not note if the collision included sidewalk riding, sidewalk bicycling puts the bicyclist at risk because drivers do not expect a faster (relative to a pedestrian) bicyclist, particularly those riding against traffic. 6 http://www.ots.ca.gov/media_and_research/Rankings/default.asp#what Head-On, 5% Sideswipe, 6% Rear-End, 5% Broadside, 69% Hit Object, 1% Overturned, <1% Vehicle/ Pedestrian, 6% Other, 8% City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-14 | Alta Planning + Design 3.6.3 Time of Day As shown in Figure 3-4, the majority of collisions have historically occurred between 2pm and 8pm. Approximately 26% of the collisions occurred during typical school dismissal and after school activities times. This was only surpassed by collisions during the evening peak period (29% of collisions). While most of the collisions occurred in the afternoon and evening, records show collisions typically occur during daylight hours (Figure 3-5) 3.6.4 Parties Involved The most common age group involved in reported bicycle related collisions were children under 18 years old (Figure 3-6, 40%). Over 50% of reported collisions involved people under 25 years old. While these age groups may bicycle more than their seniors, collision rates are not possible to determine without more detailed exposure data. However, this may indicate a need for focused bicycling education for younger riders. Night: 12am- 6am, 1%Morning School and Work: 6am- 10am, 13% Mid-Day: 10am-2pm, 19% Typical School Dismissal: 2pm-5pm, 26% Evening Peak: 5pm- 8pm, 29% Night: 8pm- 12am, 13% Daylight 70% Dusk-Dawn 4% Dark-Street Lights 21% Dark-No Street Lights 5% Under 18 40% 18-24 13% 25-34 11% 35-44 10% 45-54 15% 55-64 6% Over 65 5% Figure 3-5: Bicycle Collisions - Lighting Figure 3-6: Age of Party Involved Figure 3-4: Time of Day Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-15 3.6.5 Common Violations Identification of the most common violations in bicycle-related collisions and the locations where they occurred can inform the City of possible engineering or education needs7. A specific recurring violation can be the result of unclear traffic controls or roadways not designed for bicycle use. It can also be the result of bicyclists not aware of or complying with the “rules of the road” or not feeling comfortable riding with traffic. Table 3-9 lists the top five most common reported traffic violations and the specific locations where these violations most frequently occur. Frequent traffic violations include riding on the wrong side of the road, automobile right of way, disobeying traffic signals and signs, and improper turning. These violations suggest the need for bicycle and motorist education and direct and logical bikeways on or parallel to busy roadways. Table 3-9: Common Collision Related Violations and Location Violation % of CollisionsFrequently Occurs At Wrong Side of Road 32.0% Akers Road California Avenue Columbus Street Automobile Right of Way 23.8% 21st Street 30th Street California Avenue Disobeying Traffic Signals and Signs 10.9% Baker Street (at Truxtun Avenue and Sumner Street) Brundage Lane Ming Avenue Improper Turning 10.5% Gage Street Ming Avenue Unknown 5.9% 34th Street Table 3-10 lists the traffic violations by the at fault party. Bicyclists were most commonly cited at fault for bicycle related collisions between 2006 and 2010. They were most at fault for riding on the wrong side of the road, disobeying traffic signals and signs, and failing to yield to right-of-way. Motorists, including truck drivers, were at fault for 18% of collisions, mostly for disobeying bicyclist right of way. Table 3-10: Traffic Violation by Party at Fault Violation Bicycle Vehicle Not Stated Total Wrong Side of Road 781 382 Vehicle Right of Way 4017 461 Other or Unknown 123 1530 Traffic Signals and Signs 233 228 Improper Turning 146 727 Under the influence 55 10 Unsafe Starting / Backing7 18 Unsafe Speed 32 27 Improper Passing 11 2 Pedestrian Right of Way 1 12 Unsafe Lane Change 11 Lights / Brakes 11 2 Total 17847 31256 % Party at Fault 70%18% 12%100% Wrong way riding may be due to a number of factors. Table 3-11: Corridors Where Bicycle Related Collisions 7 The violation data may be subject to systemic officer judgment biases. City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-16 | Alta Planning + Design Violators may not know the rules of the road or may not feel comfortable bicycling with traffic or crossing major roadways. For example, Columbus Street is a five-lane roadway with limited controlled intersections. Many bicyclists will ride against traffic for short distances rather than navigate complex intersections. Table 3-11 lists the most frequent corridors where wrong way riding was listed as a factor in the reported bicycle involved collision. Involved Wrong Way Riding Corridor No. of Collisions Columbus Street 4 Union Avenue 3 California Avenue 3 Old River Road 3 S H Street 3 White Lane 3 Ming Avenue 3 3.6.6 Frequent Collision Locations Table 3-12 lists the corridors with the most collisions as well as roadway and bikeway descriptions. Table 3-12: Top Collision Corridors Corridor No. of Collisions Roadway Type Speed Limit8 No. Travel Lanes9 Bikeway Type White Lane 11 Arterial 55 8 Bike lanes Ming Avenue 9 Arterial 45 8 Bike lanes California Avenue 9 Arterial 45 8 Bike lanes 21st Street 7 Local 35 5 Bike lanes Union Avenue 7 Arterial 45 8 None S H Street 6 Arterial 45 3 None H Street 6 Collector 40 5 None RT 178 5 Freeway varies 4 Shoulder New Stine Road 5 Arterial 45 8 Bike Lanes 34th Street 5 Collector 40 6 Wide curbside lane Baker Street 5 Collector 40 5* None Brundage Lane 5 Arterial 40 6 None * with parallel parking These roadways may have more collisions than others because they:  May carry more bicycle traffic as they provide logical and direct north/south connections, and are near attractor or popular destinations.  Have higher traffic volumes and speeds, leading many bicyclists to ride either on sidewalks or against the flow of traffic (like runners often do, to observe oncoming vehicles) because they don’t feel comfortable taking the lane. Both behaviors increase crash risk. Table 3-13 lists the intersections with the most collisions as well as roadway and bikeway types. With a few exceptions (e.g. Gage Street / Kentucky Street), bicycle-involved collisions were more often at intersections with higher speed limits and numbers of travel lanes. 8 Highest speed limit is listed when this criteria differs along the corridor. 9 The number of lanes identified is the highest number along the corridor. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-17 Table 3-13: Top Collision Intersections Intersection No. of Collisions Roadway Type10 Speed Limit11 No. Travel Lanes12 Bikeway Class13 1. Ming Avenue / New Stine Road 4 Arterial / Arterial 45 / 45 8 / 8 2 / 2 2. Monitor Street / White Lane 3 Collector / Arterial 40 / 40 4 / 5 2 / 2 3. 19th Street / Union Avenue 2 Local / Arterial 25 / 50 2 / 7 None / None 4. 24th Street / Beech Street 2 Arterial / Local 40 / 25 5 / 2 None / None 5. 30th Street / Union Avenue 2 Local / Arterial 30 / 45 3 / 0 3 / None 6. 34th Street / Chester Avenue 2 Collector / Arterial 40 / 35-40 5 / 6 None / 2 7. 34th Street / Union Avenue 2 Collector / Arterial 40 / 45 6 / 7 None / None 8. Akers Road / White Lane 2 Collector / Arterial 45 / 50 4 / 7 3 / 3 9. Ashe Road / White Lane 2 Arterial / Arterial 50 / 50-55 7 / 8 2 / 2 10. Baker Street / E Truxtun Avenue 2 Collector / Arterial 25 / 40 4 / 6 None / None 11. Baker Street/ Sumner Street 2 Collector/Collector 25/35 4 / 3 None / None 12. Benton Street / Ming Avenue 2 Local / Arterial 25 / 45 2 / 5 None / None 13. Brundage Lane / H Street 2 Arterial / Collector 40 / 40-45 5 / 5 3 / None 14. Brundage Lane / P Street 2 Arterial / Collector 40 / 40 5 / 4 3 / 2 15. California Avenue / Chester Lane 2 Arterial / Local 40 / 25 6 / 3 None / None 16. California Avenue / Oak Street 2 Arterial / Arterial 40 / 40 8 / 7 None / 2 17. California Avenue / Stockdale Hwy / New Stine Road 2 Arterial / Arterial / Arterial 40 / 45 / 45 9 / 8 / 9 2 / 2 / 2 18. East California Avenue / Haley Street 2 Arterial / Collector 40 / 35 7 / 4 None / None 19. Gage Street / Kentucky Street 2 Local / Local 25 / 25 2 / 3 None / None 20. Golden State Avenue / M Street 2 Highway / Local 45 / 25 7 / 2 None / None 21. Kyner Avenue / Monitor Street 2 Local / Collector 25 / 40 2 / 3 None / 2 22. McDonald Way / Ming Avenue 2 Local / Arterial 25 / 45 2 / 7 None / None For both corridors and intersections, no obvious correlation exists between collisions and the presence of bikeways. 10 The highest roadway type is listed when this criteria differs on either side of the intersection 11 Highest speed limit is listed when this criteria differs on either side of the intersection 12 The number of lanes identified is the maximum number at the approach/departure of the intersection (i.e., thru + right turn + left turn lanes) 13 When bikeway class changes on either side, the class with this highest level of separation is noted City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-18 | Alta Planning + Design This page intentionally left blank. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-19 Figure 3-7: Reported Bicyclist-Involved Collision Map City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-20 | Alta Planning + Design This page intentionally left blank. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-21 3.7. Gap Analysis This section describes the five types of gaps that can occur in a bikeway network and organizes gaps in Bakersfield into these categories. The gaps are then mapped and help inform the network recommendations. 3.7.1 Gap Types Spot Gaps Spot gaps refer to point-specific locations lacking dedicated bicycle facilities or other treatments to accommodate safe and comfortable bicycle travel. Spot gaps primarily include intersections and other vehicle/bicycle conflict areas posing challenges for riders. Examples include bike lanes on a major street “dropping” to make way for right turn lanes at intersection, or a lack of intersection crossing treatments for bicyclists on a bikeway as they cross a major street. Figure 3-8: Bikeway Gap Types Connection Gaps Connection gaps are missing segments (1/4 mile long or less) on a clearly-defined and otherwise well- connected bikeway. Major barriers standing between bicycle destinations and clearly defined routes also represent connection gaps. Examples include bike lanes on a major street “dropping” for several blocks to make way for on-street parking; a discontinuous off-street path; or a freeway standing between a major bikeway and a school. Lineal Gaps Similar to connection gaps, lineal gaps are 1/4 mile to one-mile long missing link segments on a clearly defined and otherwise well-connected bikeway. Corridor Gaps On clearly-defined and otherwise well-connected bikeways, corridor gaps are missing links longer than one mile. These gaps will sometimes encompass an entire street corridor where bicycle facilities are desired but do not currently exist. System Gaps Larger geographic areas (e.g., a neighborhood or business district) where few or no bikeways exist are identified as system gaps. System gaps exist in areas where a minimum of two intersecting bikeways would be required to achieve the target network density. Gaps typically exist where physical or other constraints impede bicycle network development. City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-22 | Alta Planning + Design 3.7.2 Gap Analysis Findings Bakersfield’s bikeway network gaps fall into all five types presented above. Gaps are mapped in Figure 3-9. Additional gaps not included in the tables are system gaps in southwest, southeast, and northeast Bakersfield, where bikeways are generally not present. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-23 Figure 3-9: Bikeway Gaps City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-24 | Alta Planning + Design This page intentionally left blank. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-25 3.8. Community Identified Needs Community input was sought through an online survey, direct liaison with advocacy groups, and an advertised public workshop. 3.8.1 Community Survey The City of Bakersfield solicited community input through an online survey on desired types and locations of bicycle improvements. The survey was open from September 24 to December 20, 2012. A total of 431 community members responded. Respondent Characteristics and Behaviors As shown in Figure 3-10, the majority of respondents (approximately one-fourth) were between the ages of 45- 54; the next highest age range was 25-34 years (one-fifth of respondents). Gender equality has been shown to be an indicator of the perceived safety of bicycling in a given transportation system14. The survey respondents were 62 percent male and 38 percent female. Figure 3-10: Age Distribution of Survey Respondents Almost half of survey respondents typically drive alone for distances less than one mile (Figure 3-11). This group could potentially shift their drive alone trips to bicycle trips as this is a reasonably easy distance to commute by bike. About one- fourth of survey respondents walk and bike respectively for distances less than one mile. Figure 3-11: Mode Share for Trips Under 1 Mile 14 http://policy.rutgers.edu/faculty/pucher/irresistible.pdf 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 18‐2425‐3435‐4445‐5455‐6465 and over Drive alone BicycleWalkCarpoolTransit Mode 42%28%27%4%0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-26 | Alta Planning + Design The proportion of respondents that drive alone jumps up to two-thirds when trips are up to five miles (Figure 3-12). Bicycling and carpooling mode shares remain constant, but the proportion of people walking declines. Figure 3-12: Mode Share for Trips Under 5 Miles Two-thirds of respondents do not take children to school, but of the respondents that do, most drive their children to school and then continue on to another location. The next largest group of respondents drives to school and then back home. Figure 3-13: Respondents’ Reasons for Bicycling Three-fourths of respondents reported that they ride bicycles for pleasure and exercise/health (Figure 3-13). These were the most frequently selected reasons by a large margin as compared with other reasons for biking. The next most popular reason to bike was to get to work (28% of respondents). With additional educational programs for commuters, it is likely that recreational bicyclists may shift some of their commute trips to Drive aloneBicycleCarpool Other (please specify) Walk Mode67.6%25.7%5.5%2%0.7% 67.6% 25.7% 5.5%2%0.7% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% Exercise/ health For pleasure To get to work Personal Business (visiting friends, etc) For shopping/ errands I don't bike To get to school To get to transit Why Bike 73.0%71.6%28.0%25.1%21.6%14.7%9.7%5.9% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-27 bicycle trips. Providing existing recreational bicyclists with route planning tips and information about gear, such as panniers to carry large loads, may give them the tools they need to try commuting by bike. In the month prior to the survey, the majority of respondents (30%) biked one to five times, which averaged to approximately once a week or so, and about one-fifth of respondents bike 11 to 20 times per month. 37% of respondents ride 11 miles or more on average while 16% don’t ride, suggesting that respondents have a wide range of bicycling abilities. Community Identified Challenge and Opportunity Areas Survey respondents identified specific problem areas they avoid when bicycling. These challenge areas are shown in Figure 3-14. The largest words are the challenge areas that respondents identified the most and include Rosedale, Stockdale, Coffee, Calloway, California, Gosford, and Ming. With the exception of the latter two and the addition of downtown, these same streets were nominated when asked where they would ride if facilities were available. Figure 3-14: Location Bicyclists Avoid in Bakersfield The survey also asked respondents what prevents them from bicycling more often (Figure 3-15). The most common responses included too many/too fast cars, no bikeways, and poor road conditions. This indicates that survey respondents aren’t comfortable biking on higher volume and higher speed roads and the existing bikeways may not connect them to their destinations. City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-28 | Alta Planning + Design Figure 3-15: Issues that Prevent Respondents from Riding More Often Bicycling Preferences Most respondents would prefer off-street paved bike paths and low volume, traffic-calmed bicycle boulevards (Figure 3-16), reiterating that vehicle volumes and speeds are of a concern to residents. This is in line with respondent’s favorite places to bike, which include the Kern River Bike Path, Panorama, and Downtown Bakersfield. Figure 3-16: Bicycle Facility Preferences Too many cars/ cars drive too fast No bikeways Poor road conditions Destinations are too far away I have to carry things No bike parking Insufficient lighting I travel with small children Health reasons Response62%52%46%35%31%28%26%12%3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% % of Respondents 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Off-street paved bike paths On-Street striped bike lanes Unstriped bike routes Bicycle Boulevards Number of ResponsesUndesirable Somewhat Undesirable Somewhat Desirable Desirable Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-29 Respondents noted that more bike paths and improved safety from cars are the most important methods of encouraging them to bicycle more often (Figure 3-17). Figure 3-17: Ways to Encourage More Bicycling in Bakersfield Bikeway destination and route signage is also a priority. As shown in Figure 3-18, more Bakersfield residents would bike to work, parks, community centers, libraries, grocery stores, and for other errands if these improvements were implemented. Figure 3-18: Driving Trips Perceived to be Feasible by Bike with Existing Facilities More bike paths Improved safety from cars More bike routes More on- street bike lanes More bikeway destination / route signage Improved bicycle storage security/ parking Improved personal safety (e.g. lighting) Education and outreach programs Response 78%77%69%59%53%45%40%30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Travel to city parks, community centers and libraries Commuting to and from work Other errands Grocery Shopping Downtown Shopping Other (please specify) School drop- offs Other Trip63%57%52%46%36%16%15%10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-30 | Alta Planning + Design 3.8.2 Public Workshop A public workshop was held on December 12, 2012 to solicit input on the Bicycle Transportation Plan development. Themes identified in the workshop included:  Existing bicycle lanes are too narrow for safety or comfort, and frequently “drop” whenever additional motor traffic lanes are squeezed in  Due to the high motor vehicle travel speeds in Bakersfield, members of the public interested in bicycling will only be convinced to ride by providing facilities with greater separation  There are many routes which regular bicycling enthusiasts know to ride, especially routes utilizing less trafficked local streets. These routes are not apparent to the general public who otherwise might be inclined to try riding. Several such routes were identified through neighborhoods, especially in the southwest  The southeast is a social justice area which features many people who are “captive bicyclists” without access to motor vehicles. This area has few bicycle facilities yet high existing and possibly latent demand for bicycling. Future efforts should consider Spanish language outreach to engage this community. The workshop attendees were given markers and pens to highlight and write on large format maps of the city. Community comments are summarized in Figures 3-19 through 3-23. The “Planned Bikeways” shown on these figures are those from the General Plan and adopted Specific Plans. These were included to determine the community’s support for these facilities and are not necessarily the recommendations of this Plan. Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-31 Figure 3-19: Community Priorities - Downtown City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-32 | Alta Planning + Design Figure 3-20: Community Priorities - Northeast Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-33 Figure 3-21: Community Priorities Northwest City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-34 | Alta Planning + Design Figure 3-22: Community Priorities Southeast Needs Analysis Alta Planning + Design | 3-35 Figure 3-23: Community Priorities Southwest City of Bakersfield | Bicycle Transportation Plan 3-36 | Alta Planning + Design 3.9. Summary of Bicyclist Needs Infrastructure improvements such as bikeways are needed to connect attractors and generators, improve safety at high collision areas and provide a greater measure of protection for interested but concerned bicyclists. Other infrastructure improvements including signage and parking will support the on-street network. Programmatic improvements such as education, outreach and encouragement may help reduce conflict and encourage more bicycling. Bicycle attractors and generators such as parks, schools, event centers, retail and major employers need better connections to bikeways. While the City of Bakersfield has invested in its arterial roadway bicycle network, additional routes on lower speed collectors and neighborhood streets are needed to improve access to community destinations. The collision analysis suggests the need for additional investment in bikeways and/or reductions in vehicle operating speeds in the downtown area and at major intersections through increased enforcement. The analysis reveals a need for bicycle education for both drivers and bicyclists about rights, responsibilities and the rules of the road. As Bakersfield’s bikeway network is developed, a bikeway map and distinctive wayfinding signage program will help bicyclists travel on less heavily travelled bicycle priority streets. Identified Needs and Sources Connections to commercial centers (collision analysis) Connections to parks, community centers, and libraries (community survey) Bikeway improvements on major corridors including: White Lane, Ming Ave, California Ave, 21st St, and Union Ave (collision analysis) Bikeway connections on local roadways (collision analysis/community surve y) Bikeway gap closures (gap analysis) Bike paths and bike boulevards (community survey) Education programs (collision analysis) Wayfinding signage (community survey)