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HomeMy WebLinkAbout11/23/2016AT/ST OFFICE OF THE CITY MANAGER November 23, 2016 TO: Honorable Mayor and City Council FROM: Alan Tandy, City Manager SUBJECT: General Information * City offices will be closed on Thursday and Friday, November 24th – 25th * Notable Items  The post-election count of provisional and absentee ballots seem to drag out formal election results. Nevertheless, we would like to finally congratulate Mayor-elect Karen Goh on her election. We look forward to working with you in the near future.  Attached is a recent article from the Sacramento Bee, which discusses the issues surrounding a potential upcoming decision by CalPERS to raise contribution rates. The potential increases are in response to consecutive years of poor investment returns, well below the 7.5% target, coupled with CalPERS investment consultants reportedly urging the pension fund to lower future investment forecasts over the next decade. As you are aware, City staff closely monitors CalPERS information regarding the City’s pension plans in order to project CalPERS cost increases several years into the future for planning purposes. While City staff has anticipated future annual increases in CalPERS costs, a decision to increase rates by the CalPERS Board of Directors will further add to future increases. We will continue to monitor this situation closely and update our projections accordingly. For your reference, also attached is a recent memorandum produced by the Finance Director (previously provided in the September 16, 2016, General Information Memo) that highlights the most current information we have from CalPERS specific to the City’s plans. General Information November 23, 2016 Page 2 Traffic and other Road Advisories  Traffic Control Scheduled Next Week for State Route 178 Motorists are advised that work on the State Route 178 Widening Project may cause short delays next week. Traffic control will be needed between Canteria Drive and Masterson Street on Monday, November 28th. Intermittent traffic control will also be needed between Canteria Drive and Valley Street for earthwork, Tuesday, November 29th through Friday, December 2nd. Flagging personnel will need to stop traffic in these areas between the hours of 8:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m., each day, affecting both directions of travel. Motorists can expect to be stopped for up to 10 minutes and are encouraged to select an alternate route or allow extra time to reach their destinations while this work is underway.  Rosedale Highway Median Work – Calloway Drive to Gibson Street Crews will be placing woodchips in the new medians along Rosedale Highway, between Calloway Drive and Gibson Street, starting Monday, November 28th and continuing through Friday, December 2nd. This work will require closures of the inside travel lane in each direction while work is underway. Closures are expected to be in effect between the hours of 8:30 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. Two lanes will remain open to traffic in each direction. Motorists are advised to drive carefully and pay attention to construction crews and equipment while driving through this area. Referrals  Councilmember Parlier o Letter regarding Aquifer Exemptions Reports  Streets Division work schedule for the week of November 28th Event Notifications  Event calendar for the Rabobank Arena Theater and Convention Center The Sacramento Bee November 21, 2016 Page 1 of 3 With investments soft, CalPERS eyes higher contribution rates. What does that mean for workers? CalPERS headquarters in Sacramento BY DALE KASLER dkasler@sacbee.com CalPERS is preparing more pension rate hikes, and they could cost government agencies billions of dollars. With consultants predicting long-term declines in investment earnings, the big California pension fund is considering substantially higher contribution rates for the state and the thousands of municipalities and school districts that rely on CalPERS to serve their retirees. Workers could get hit with higher contributions, too, although that would depend on contract negotiations. A decision isn’t likely until February, but CalPERS’ deliberations are already causing anguish to employers, employees and the pension fund itself. The move will surely cause more budget strain for government agencies, particularly at the local level, even though the higher rates are likely to be phased in over a number of years. Union officials worry that higher pension contributions will leave less money for pay raises – and could increase political pressure for major reforms in the pension system. Dave Low, who runs a group http://www.sacbee.com/news/business/article116331443.html The Sacramento Bee November 21, 2016 Page 2 of 3 called Californians for Retirement Security, told CalPERS board members last week not to fall for pessimistic financial forecasts. “We don’t see enough data that shows us an immediate change is warranted,” said Low, also executive director of the California School Employees Association. “I think the train needs to be slowed down.” But several CalPERS board members, speaking at a meeting of the fund’s finance and administration committee, said the fund needs to face up to its financial realities. “The most important thing we can do is shore up the funding,” said Richard Gillihan, who serves as representative of Gov. Jerry Brown’s Department of Human Resources. “We can’t wait to do that. It’s pay now, or pay more later.” Said board member Priya Mathur, a BART official who represents employees of local government agencies: “We all find ourselves in an uncomfortable position.” CalPERS collected $13.8 billion from employers and employees last year, with the biggest contribution – $5.4 billion – coming from the state. The pension fund raised contribution rates two years ago, largely because of forecasts showing retirees are expected to live longer. Unlike CalSTRS, the teachers’ pension fund, CalPERS has the authority to impose rate hikes without permission from the Legislature. This time around, it’s the pension fund’s own troubled finances – combined with predictions of a gloomy investment climate – that is pressuring the board to raise rates. The $300 billion pension system is 68 percent funded, meaning that while it has enough cash for the foreseeable future, it has only 68 cents on hand for every $1 in long-term pension obligations. Over the past year, CalPERS has become “cash flow negative,” meaning it’s taking in fewer dollars than it’s spending on pension benefits. A rescue from Wall Street doesn’t seem likely. While historically CalPERS gets about 60 percent of its money from investments, the most recent results aren’t strong. The California Public Employees’ Retirement System earned just a 0.61 percent return on its investments in the 2015-16 fiscal year, following a subpar 2.4 percent the year before. The latest investment returns mean CalPERS has earned an average of just over 7 percent over the past 20 years. That’s below CalPERS’ current “discount rate” of 7.5 percent. The discount rate sounds arcane but plays a crucial role in pension fund financing. It serves as an official forecast of yearly investment earnings and generally guides how much investment risk CalPERS is willing http://www.sacbee.com/news/business/article116331443.html The Sacramento Bee November 21, 2016 Page 3 of 3 to take. Lowering the rate means charting a more cautious approach, which usually means lower returns. That forces CalPERS to demand higher contributions from the state and other employers. Now, outside consultants are urging CalPERS to lower its investment forecast. CalPERS’ investment adviser Wilshire Consulting said last week that CalPERS can expect to earn just 6.2 percent a year over the next decade as global economic growth continues to slow. Andrew Junkin, the firm’s president, told board members to expect “a very painful decade.” CalPERS has been cautious about adjusting the discount rate. Last fall it adopted a complicated mechanism that could reduce the rate to 6.5 percent – over 20 years. Brown blasted the plan as “irresponsible.” The governor said CalPERS should have slashed the discount rate in five years, despite the budgetary pain it would cause. Local officials, mindful of recent municipal bankruptcies in Stockton and San Bernardino, are nervous about more rate hikes from CalPERS but said they want the pension system to be financially sound. Fatter contributions to CalPERS would be “a hard pill to swallow,” said Dane Hutchings of the League of California Cities in an interview. But he added: “Our members are prepared for it.” CalPERS officials indicated the higher contribution rates are likely to be phased in, although it isn’t clear how quickly. Pension politics could play a role in the decision. The CalPERS board generally has a pro-union tilt; six of its 13 members are elected by public workers or retirees. Another big cost increase could provide ammunition for those advocating major pension reforms. Although Brown signed a law that cuts benefits for new workers starting in 2013, critics note that it doesn’t touch benefits for those already in the system. Dan Pellissier, the head of a group called California Pension Reform, said the CalPERS board is struggling with the looming decision. “They’re confronted with their system being substantially out of whack,” Pellissier said in an interview. “The consequences of doing the right thing are going to be significant.” Those sensitivities were on full display at last week’s meeting. Board member Theresa Taylor, a vice president with Local 1000 of the Service Employees International Union, which represents thousands of state workers, was among those warning that CalPERS was in danger of rushing to judgment. “We need to step back and breathe,” she said. http://www.sacbee.com/news/business/article116331443.html MEMORANDUM TO: Alan Tandy, City Manager FROM: Nelson K. Smith, Finance Director DATE: September 16, 2016 SUBJECT: PERS Rates for 2017-18 and Updated Funding Status The City recently received its Annual Valuation Report from CalPERS, which includes employer rates for future years and also provides updated information regarding the funding status of the various City retirement plans as of the June 30, 2015 CalPERS actuarial valuation date. CalPERS has made another significant change this year in the way the actuarial reports are prepared as well as how the City will remit funds in the future. The most recent actuarial reports no longer provide full cost employer rates as a percentage of city payroll. CalPERS has decided to separate out the unfunded liability portion of the rates from the “normal cost” portion of the rates. The normal cost portion of the plan funding requirements will continue to be paid on a bi-weekly basis as a percentage of payroll costs. The unfunded liability portion of the plan funding requirements will now be billed annually as a flat dollar cost. The City will pay CalPERS on a monthly basis for the unfunded liability portion. The table below shows the employer unfunded liability costs we are currently paying for each plan, along with our new PERS costs for 2017-18. The CalPERS report also provides “projected costs” for each plan, estimating the future year employer expense for the 2018-19 fiscal year. Unfunded Liability Costs 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 (monthly payment plan) estimated projected Fire $ 2,972,687 $ 3,663,652 $ 4,623,430 Police $ 7,561,905 $ 8,815,778 $10,471,645 Miscellaneous $ 6,887,078 $ 8,289,188 $10,201,156 Total UL Cost – All Plans $17,421,670 $20,768,618 $25,296,231 As you can see the costs are scheduled to go up by $3,346,948 for the 2017-18 budget year, with additional cost increases of $4.5 million in FY 2018-19. These cost escalations are higher than estimated one year ago due to lower earnings on the CalPERS investment portfolio. The next table (below) shows the employer “normal cost” rates we are currently paying for each plan, along with our new PERS rates for 2017-18. The CalPERS report also provides “projected rates” for each plan, estimating the future year employer rates for the 2018-19 fiscal year. Rates 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 (as a % of payroll) Projected Fire 16.580 % 16.120 % 16.1 % Police 19.364 % 18.465 % 18.5 % Miscellaneous 9.186 % 9.122 % 9.1 % These costs are paid as a percent of payroll expenses on a bi-weekly basis and are in addition to the unfunded liability costs shown in the prior table (page 1). As you can see there are slight reductions in the normal cost component for each of the plans; especially the police plan. This can be associated with the lower costs of the statewide PEPRA benefit structure compared to the more robust City benefit structure (3%@50/3%@60). As more employees retire and get replaced with PEPRA plan employees, the normal cost component for the City will continue to go down. The fact remains that total cost to the City for funding retirement obligations (both normal cost plus unfunded costs) continues to go up by significant amounts each year. These cost increases may be offset to some extent by lower “normal cost” rates as more employees come under the reduced pension PEPRA rules, but the overall negative trend is clear for the next several years. Funding Status of the Plans In addition to the new employer rate data, the annual PERS report also provides us with updated funding status of the plans and unfunded liabilities of the plan. The prior year valuation reports showed the City’s unfunded liability for all plans combined at approximately $294 million. The most recent reports (valuation date of June 30, 2015) shows an increase in our unfunded liability of $54 million, bringing the City’s overall unfunded liability up to $348 million. The increase can be attributed to below average earnings on the PERS investments of 2.4% during the 2014-15 fiscal period, compared to the CalPERS target rate of 7.5%. CalPERS has also disclosed their earnings for 2015-16 came in at zero %, which is reflected in their estimated cost increases for Fiscal Year 2018-19. The overall funding status for the three City plans combined has dropped from 73.7% down to 70.3%. cc: Steven Teglia / Chris Huot - Assistant City Managers File name: nks:/s:/nelson/memo-PERS rates for 2017-18 and other info.doc Week of November 28_2016_Work Schedule Page 1 of 2 STREETS DIVISION – WORK SCHEDULE Week of November 28, 2016 – December 2, 2016 Resurfacing/Reconstructing streets in the following areas: Maintenance Grind & Pave on Chester Ave between 24th St and 30th St Maintenance Grind & Pave on Harris Rd between Wible Rd and Gosford Rd Resurfacing Brimhall Rd between Jewetta Ave and Calloway Dr Paving on Ashe Rd from White Ln to Harris Rd Miscellaneous Streets Division projects: Video inspection of City owned sewer and storm lines to evaluate condition of pipes Repairing damaged sewer line found during video inspection Miscellaneous concrete repairs throughout the City Concrete repairs to various bus stops throughout City limits Grading for sidewalk at Mesa Marin Working with the Railroad on repairs to crossings at “Q” St north of Golden State Ave and at 30th St and “M” St Concrete work in the four HUD areas for curb and gutter, sidewalk, and handicap ramps prior to street repairs; the four areas are (1) El Toro Dr Area (2) Oleander Ave Area (3) Castro Ln Area, (4) “P” St Area NOTE: If raining, there will be no street sweeping service and all street cleaning personnel will be assigned to cleaning plugged drains and part circle culverts. This also applies when a large number of street sweepers are in Fleet for repairs. Areas that have been missed during this time will be swept at the end of the month only when possible. THIS SPACE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Week of November 28_2016_Work Schedule Page 2 of 2 STREETS SWEEPING SCHEDULE Monday, November 28, 2016 Between Coffee Rd. & Verdugo Ln. – Brimhall Rd., south to the Kern River boundary. Cul-De-Sacs, west of Windsong St., between Brimhall Rd. & Thistlewood Ct. City areas between Rosedale Hwy. & Stockdale Hwy. – Verdugo Ln. to the west City limit. Between Jenkins Rd. & Allen Rd. – Stockdale Hwy. & Birkenfeld Ave. Between Hosking Rd. & Astro Ave. – So. “H” St. & Union Ave. Tuesday, November 29, 2016 All sweepers are assigned to sweeping streets that are not on a set sweeping schedule. Wednesday, November 30, 2016 All sweepers are assigned to sweeping streets that are not on a set sweeping schedule. Thursday, December 1, 2016 City areas between Kentucky St. & Quincy St. – Owens St. & Virginia St. Between Union Ave. & Washington St. – E. Truxtun Ave. & Brundage Ln. Between Gosford Rd. & Old River Rd. – Panama Ln. & Pacheco Rd. (alignment) City areas between Progress Rd. & Old River Rd. – Meadow Falls Dr. & Rose Creek Dr. Friday, December 2, 2016 Between Buena Vista Rd. & Allen Rd. – Pensinger Rd. & Panama Ln. Between Buena Vista Rd. & Mountain Vista Dr. – Panama Ln. & Berkshire Rd. Between 178 Hwy. & Paladino Dr. – W. Columbus St. & Morning Dr. City areas between Sterling Rd. & Morning Dr. – 178 Hwy. & College Ave. Between Valley St. & Lene Pl. – 178 Hwy. & Hickory Dr. Between 178 Hwy. & Reynard Rd. – Kern Canyon Rd. & McKenna St. Between Stockdale Hwy. & Joseph Dr. – McDonald Wy. & N. Stine Rd. BOX OFFICE HOURS Mon-Fri 10 AM - 5 PM (Excluding Event Days) CHARGE-BY-PHONE 1-888-929-7849 GROUP SALES INFORMATION 661-852-7309 SEASON TICKET INFORMATION Bakersfield Condors 661-324-PUCK (7825) www.bakersfieldcondors.com Bakersfield Symphony 661-323-7928 www.BSOnow.org Broadway In Bakersfield 661-852-7308 Week of November 21nd UPCOMING EVENTS November 22 – Condors vs San Jose7:00 PM $35, $25, $20, $16, $12 On Sale Now November 26 – Condors vs San Diego7:00 PM $40, $30, $25, $21, $17 On Sale Now December 2 – Condors vs Charlotte7:00 PM $35, $25, $20, $16, $12 On Sale Now December 3 - Condors vs Tucson6:00 PM $35, $25, $20, $16, $12 On Sale Now December 9 – Condors vs Charlotte7:00 PM $35, $25, $20, $16, $12 On Sale Now December 10 – Condors vs Stockton6:00 PM $35, $25, $20, $16, $12 On Sale Now January 20-21 - Monster Trucks 7:30 PM $40, $21, $18, $16, $11 On Sale Now February 16 – Blake Shelton 7:30 PM $77.50, $57.50, $27.50 On Sale 12/2 February 20 – Harlem Globetrotters2:00 PM $90, $50, $40, $33, $25, $18 On Sale Now September 30 – Tim McGraw/Faith Hill7:30 PM $129.50, $99.50, $69.50 On Sale Now December 9 – The Nutcracker 7:30 PM $36, $32, $30 On Sale Now December 10 – The Nutcracker1 PM/7:30 PM $36, $32, $30 On Sale Now December 11 – The Nutcracker1 PM $36, $32, $30 On Sale Now December 18 – Merry-achi Christmas7:30 PM $45.50, $35.50, $25.50 On Sale Now December 22 – Rudolph The Musical7:30 PM $55, $45, $35 On Sale Now December 31 – George Lopez 8:00 PM $59.50, $39.50 On Sale Now January 5 – Annie 7:30 PM $65, $55, $35 On Sale Now February 4 – Bakersfield Symphony7:30 PM $45, $35, $30, $20 On Sale Now February 10 – Super Love Jam 7:30 PM $69.50, $52.50, $42.50, $35.50, $30.50 On Sale Now March 11 – Bakersfield Symphony7:30 PM $45, $35, $30, $20 On Sale Now April 8 – Bakersfield Symphony 7:30 PM $45, $35, $30, $20 On Sale Now May 18 – Cinderella 7:30 PM $65, $55, $35 On Sale Now www.rabobankarena.com - www.bhnamphitheatre.com